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Ars conjectandi three hundred years on
Author(s) -
Edwards Anthony
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
significance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.123
H-Index - 21
eISSN - 1740-9713
pISSN - 1740-9705
DOI - 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00666.x
Subject(s) - bernoulli's principle , statistical inference , inference , bernoulli trial , mathematical economics , philosophy , art history , mathematics , classics , history , epistemology , combinatorics , statistics , physics , thermodynamics
This year sees the 300th anniversary of Bernoulli's Ars conjectandi – The Art of Conjecturing . It transformed gamblers' “expectations” into modern mathematical probabilities. More importantly, it sets forth what Bernoulli called his “golden theorem”– the law of large numbers – which underpins the whole of statistical inference. Professor Anthony Edwards digs deep.