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Hotter or not? Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?
Author(s) -
Knutti Reto
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
significance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.123
H-Index - 21
eISSN - 1740-9713
pISSN - 1740-9705
DOI - 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2008.00320.x
Subject(s) - climate change , argument (complex analysis) , climate model , climatology , environmental science , econometrics , computer science , economics , geology , biochemistry , oceanography , chemistry
Why should we believe predictions of climate change over the next century if we cannot predict the weather 3 days ahead? Reto Knutti explains why scientists have confidence in climate change models, how statistical methods can help to quantify their uncertainties—and why uncertainty is not an argument for delaying efforts to reduce the damage.