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Scoring Total Inflammation Is Superior to the Current Banff Inflammation Score in Predicting Outcome and the Degree of Molecular Disturbance in Renal Allografts
Author(s) -
Mengel M.,
Reeve J.,
Bunnag S.,
Einecke G.,
Jhangri G. S.,
Sis B.,
Famulski K.,
GuembesHidalgo L.,
Halloran P. F.
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
american journal of transplantation
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.89
H-Index - 188
eISSN - 1600-6143
pISSN - 1600-6135
DOI - 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2009.02727.x
Subject(s) - medicine , receiver operating characteristic , population , nephrology , predictive value of tests , area under the curve , pathology , gastroenterology , environmental health
Emerging molecular analysis can be used as an objective and independent assessment of histopathological scoring systems. We compared the existing Banff i‐score to the total inflammation (total i‐) score for assessing the molecular phenotype in 129 renal allograft biopsies for cause. The total i‐score showed stronger correlations with microarray‐based gene sets representing major biological processes during allograft rejection. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that total‐i was superior (areas under the curves 0.85 vs. 0.73 for Banff i‐score, p = 0.012) at assessing an abnormal cytotoxic T‐cell burden, because it identified molecular disturbances in biopsies with advanced scarring. The total‐i score was also a better predictor of graft survival than the Banff i‐score and essentially all current diagnostic Banff categories. The exception was antibody‐mediated rejection which is able to predict graft loss with greater specificity (96%) but at low sensitivity (38%) due to the fact that it only applies to cases with this diagnosis. The total i‐score is able to achieve moderate sensitivities (60–80%) with losses in specificity (60–80%) across the whole population. Thus, the total i‐score is superior to the current Banff i‐score and most diagnostic Banff categories in predicting outcome and assessing the molecular phenotype of renal allografts.