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A model for the timing of swarming of Tomicus piniperda (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)
Author(s) -
Saarenmaa Hannu
Publication year - 1989
Publication title -
ecography
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.973
H-Index - 128
eISSN - 1600-0587
pISSN - 0906-7590
DOI - 10.1111/j.1600-0587.1989.tb00920.x
Subject(s) - swarming (honey bee) , bark beetle , ecology , swarm behaviour , population , biology , environmental science , bark (sound) , demography , sociology
Tomicus piniperda is the first bark beetle to swarm in the spring in Fennoscandia. The intensity of swarming is directly related to air temperature above a certain threshold and reaches 100% asymptotically. While temperature sums above the threshold accumulate, swarming rate slows down. A non‐linear model was built on these considerations. The model was calibrated to window trap material from northern Finland, and it was validated against published material mainly from Norway. The threshold temperatures in these materials were 10.8°C and 11.6°C, respectively. The predictions of the model were satisfactory, and the model will be tried as a part of an entire population dynamics model. The possibilities to predict not only timing, but also the frequency of attack are discussed.

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