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The University of North Carolina Caries Risk Assessment study: further developments in caries risk prediction *
Author(s) -
Disney Judith A.,
Graves Richard C.,
Stamm John W.,
Bohannan Harry M.,
Abernathy James R.,
Zack Denis D.
Publication year - 1992
Publication title -
community dentistry and oral epidemiology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.061
H-Index - 101
eISSN - 1600-0528
pISSN - 0301-5661
DOI - 10.1111/j.1600-0528.1992.tb00679.x
Subject(s) - medicine , south carolina , risk assessment , dentistry , environmental health , demography , computer security , public administration , political science , computer science , sociology
Over 4000 first and fifth grade children from the areas surrounding Aiken, South Carolina, and Portland, Maine, participated in a 4‐yr study to develop caries risk assessment models. The predictors used at baseline included detailed clinical examinations, salivary microbiological tests, and sociodemographic and dental behavior data. Mean 3‐yr caries increments in South Carolina were twice those in Maine. For the four risk assessment models (two grade cohorts at two sites) specificity values averaged 0.83 and sensitivity values averaged 0.60. Clinical predictors such as prior DMFS, pit and fissure morphology, and predicted caries risk status were the major contributors to the models.