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Exploration of prediction models for caries risk assessment of the geriatric population
Author(s) -
Powell L. Virginia,
Mancl Lloyd A.,
Senft Geralyn D.
Publication year - 1991
Publication title -
community dentistry and oral epidemiology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.061
H-Index - 101
eISSN - 1600-0528
pISSN - 0301-5661
DOI - 10.1111/j.1600-0528.1991.tb00170.x
Subject(s) - medicine , logistic regression , root caries , dentistry , regression analysis , population , risk assessment , geriatric dentistry , coronal plane , statistics , demography , environmental health , oral health , mathematics , computer security , computer science , radiology , sociology
The purpose of This study was to demonstrate a method for establishing a model designed to predict the caries risk of elderly individuals. Twenty‐three patients over the age of 65 and living in a semi‐independent retirement center were examined; several variables were collected and analyzed for their ability to predict the development of new carious lesions. The analysis was performed using logistic regression where the proportion of new decay was used as the dependent variable. The model for prediction of combined coronal and root caries included the variables flow rate, gender, and root caries index. The proposed method has the advantages of easily collected data, individualized criteria, and the ability to order patients as to the relative risk of developing decay.