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Climate change and Australia's comparative advantage in broadacre agriculture 1
Author(s) -
Sanderson Todd,
AhmadiEsfahani Fredoun Z.
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
agricultural economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.29
H-Index - 82
eISSN - 1574-0862
pISSN - 0169-5150
DOI - 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2011.00544.x
Subject(s) - comparative advantage , climate change , agriculture , economics , psychological resilience , robustness (evolution) , natural resource economics , ecology , international trade , biology , psychology , biochemistry , gene , psychotherapist
Australia has long been a major exporter of the products of broadacre agriculture, a production system well suited to the economic and climatic conditions of the country. Presumably, it holds a comparative advantage in these products, among which grain crops and grazing livestock predominate. However, the future plausibility of this proposition is sensitive to the projected impacts of climate change. This article develops a framework to quantify the future patterns of comparative advantage in broadacre agriculture, given the projections of several global climate models. We find empirical support for the conventional wisdom, and note substantial resilience and robustness in Australia's comparative advantage under a number of scenarios.