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A structural time series analysis of US broiler exports
Author(s) -
Kapombe Crispin M.,
Colyer Dale
Publication year - 1999
Publication title -
agricultural economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.29
H-Index - 82
eISSN - 1574-0862
pISSN - 0169-5150
DOI - 10.1111/j.1574-0862.1999.tb00602.x
Subject(s) - economics , exchange rate , broiler , time series , international market , international economics , econometrics , monetary economics , biology , zoology , machine learning , computer science
A structural time series model is used to determine the dynamic characteristics, forecasting properties, and policy implications of factors affecting the US broiler export market. The emphasis is on international market responsiveness. The analysis indicates that in addition to the explanatory variables a trend component has been vital in the expansion of the broiler industry during the study period. The results indicate that export markets are more price responsive than the domestic markets, that interventions in the Canadian and Mexican markets reduce their imports, and exchange rate changes have significant impacts on US exports.