Open AccessPrediction of the Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation After Successful Cardioversion with P Wave Signal‐Averaged ECG
Author(s) -
Budeus Marco,
Hennersdorf Marcus,
Perings Christian,
Wieneke Heinrich,
Erbel Raimund,
Sack Stefan
Publication year - 2005
Publication title -
annals of noninvasive electrocardiology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.494
H-Index - 48
eISSN - 1542-474X
pISSN - 1082-720X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1542-474x.2005.00059.x
Subject(s) - medicine , atrial fibrillation , cardioversion , cardiology , signal averaged electrocardiogram , logistic regression , odds ratio , electrocardiography , cutoff , physics , quantum mechanics
Background: The recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) was often observed after cardioversion. Methods: In our study, a P wave triggered P wave signal‐averaged ECG (P‐SAECG) was performed on 118 consecutive patients 1 day after successful electrical cardioversion in order to evaluate the utility of this method to predict AF after cardioversion. We measured the filtered P wave duration (FPD) and the root mean square voltage of the last 20 ms of the P wave (RMS 20). Results: During a 1‐year follow‐up, a recurrence was observed in 57 patients (48%). Patients with recurrence of AF had a larger left atrial size (41.9 ± 4.0 vs 39.3 ± 3.1 mm, P < 0.0003), a longer FPD (139.6 ± 16.0 vs 118.2 ± 14.1 ms, P < 0.0001), and a lower RMS 20 (2.57 ± 0.77 vs 3.90 ± 0.99 μV, P < 0.0001). A cutoff point (COP) of FPD ≥126 ms and RMS 20 ≤3.1 μV could predict AF with a specificity of 77%, a sensitivity of 72%, a positive value of 75%, a negative predictive value of 75%, and an accuracy of 75%. A stepwise logistic regression analysis of variables identified COP (odds ratio 9.97; 95% CI, 4.10–24.24, P < 0.0001) as an independent predictor for recurrence. Conclusions: We conclude that the probability of recurrence of AF after cardioversion could be predicted by P‐SAECG. This method seems to be appropriate to demonstrate a delayed atrial conduction that might be a possible risk factor of reinitiation of AF.