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Terrorism and Stock Market Sentiment
Author(s) -
Nikkinen Jussi,
Vähämaa Sami
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
financial review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.621
H-Index - 47
eISSN - 1540-6288
pISSN - 0732-8516
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00246.x
Subject(s) - terrorism , stock market , index (typography) , stock market index , economics , stock (firearms) , financial economics , econometrics , political science , geography , law , computer science , context (archaeology) , archaeology , world wide web
This paper examines the effects of terrorism on stock market sentiment by focusing on the behavior of expected probability density functions of the FTSE 100 index around terrorist attacks. We find that terrorism has a strong adverse impact on stock market sentiment. In particular, terrorist attacks are found to cause a pronounced downward shift in the expected value of the FTSE 100 index and a significant increase in stock market uncertainty. Furthermore, our results show that the expected FTSE 100 probability densities became significantly more negatively skewed and fat‐tailed in the immediate aftermath of terrorist acts.