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Rollover Risk and Credit Risk
Author(s) -
HE ZHIGUO,
XIONG WEI
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
the journal of finance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 18.151
H-Index - 299
eISSN - 1540-6261
pISSN - 0022-1082
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01721.x
Subject(s) - rollover (web design) , market liquidity , liquidity premium , liquidity risk , monetary economics , debt , credit risk , financial system , business , liquidity crisis , bond , risk premium , economics , finance , world wide web , computer science
Our model shows that deterioration in debt market liquidity leads to an increase in not only the liquidity premium of corporate bonds but also credit risk. The latter effect originates from firms' debt rollover. When liquidity deterioration causes a firm to suffer losses in rolling over its maturing debt, equity holders bear the losses while maturing debt holders are paid in full. This conflict leads the firm to default at a higher fundamental threshold. Our model demonstrates an intricate interaction between the liquidity premium and default premium and highlights the role of short‐term debt in exacerbating rollover risk.