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Cash Flow, Consumption Risk, and the Cross‐section of Stock Returns
Author(s) -
DA ZHI
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
the journal of finance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 18.151
H-Index - 299
eISSN - 1540-6261
pISSN - 0022-1082
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01453.x
Subject(s) - cash flow , econometrics , capital asset pricing model , risk premium , economics , stock (firearms) , operating cash flow , asset (computer security) , earnings , consumption (sociology) , financial economics , business , finance , computer science , geography , social science , computer security , sociology , archaeology
I link an asset's risk premium to two characteristics of its underlying cash flow: covariance and duration. Using empirically novel estimates of both cash flow characteristics based exclusively on accounting earnings and aggregate consumption data, I examine their dynamic interaction in a two‐factor cash flow model and find that they are able to explain up to 82% of the cross‐sectional variation in the average returns on size, book‐to‐market, and long‐term reversal‐sorted portfolios for the period 1964 to 2002. This finding highlights the importance of fundamental cash flow characteristics in determining the risk exposure of an asset.