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The Seasonal Stability of the Factor Structure of Stock Returns
Author(s) -
CHO D. CHINHYUNG,
TAYLOR WILLIAM M.
Publication year - 1987
Publication title -
the journal of finance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 18.151
H-Index - 299
eISSN - 1540-6261
pISSN - 0022-1082
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04361.x
Subject(s) - stock (firearms) , econometrics , covariance , mathematics , correlation , covariance matrix , stability (learning theory) , statistics , economics , sample (material) , computer science , geography , geometry , machine learning , chemistry , chromatography , archaeology
This paper investigates the month‐by‐month stability of (a) daily returns and correlation coefficients of stock returns, (b) correlation and covariance matrices, (c) number of return‐generating factors, and (d) the APT pricing relationship. The results show that there is a January effect and a small‐firm effect in stock returns. Correlation matrices are more stable than covariance matrices, but both types of matrices are not stable across months and across the sample groups. The number of return‐generating factors is rather stable most of the time and for most of the sample groups, but there is some significant instability that is related to the average correlation coefficients among stocks. The APT pricing relationship does not seem to be supported by the two‐stage process using the maximum‐likelihood factor analysis.