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The Reaction of Real Estate–Related Industries to the Monetary Policy Actions
Author(s) -
Goukasian Levon,
Majbouri Mehdi
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
real estate economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.064
H-Index - 61
eISSN - 1540-6229
pISSN - 1080-8620
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-6229.2010.00270.x
Subject(s) - economics , monetary policy , real estate , real estate investment trust , stock (firearms) , monetary economics , basis point , equity (law) , capitalization rate , dividend , dividend policy , interest rate , financial economics , finance , mechanical engineering , political science , law , engineering
We study the impact of changes in U.S. monetary policy on the equity returns of real estate–related industries. We find that, over the 1989–2005 sample period covered in our study, a hypothetical unexpected rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) is associated with an increase of about 170 bps in the value‐weighted returns of real estate–related industries. We find that monetary policy impacts the stock prices in real estate–related industries through its impact on the future expected stock returns and not on real interest rates or expected future dividends. There is also some evidence of asymmetry in the responses of the industry returns to the monetary policy actions. A strong stock price response to reversals in the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is reported.