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MODELING THE TIME DISTRIBUTION OF RECIDIVISM: APPLICATIONS AND LIMITATIONS IN CRIMINAL JUSTICE SYSTEM PLANNING
Author(s) -
Liechenstein Michael I.
Publication year - 1979
Publication title -
decision sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.238
H-Index - 108
eISSN - 1540-5915
pISSN - 0011-7315
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-5915.1979.tb00025.x
Subject(s) - recidivism , criminal justice , computer science , work (physics) , econometrics , calibration , criminology , management science , operations research , economics , psychology , statistics , mathematics , engineering , mechanical engineering
Existing criminal justice system models give scant attention to the timing of recidivism, a key system phenomenon. Using statistical techniques, several aggregate exponential models for recidivism are developed that extend earlier work. Published empirical data permit calibration and comparison with the model's results. Discussion of the model's rationale and possible refinement is accompanied by suggested planning and policy uses.