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AGGREGATING EXPERT OPINION IN DECISION‐MAKING
Author(s) -
Willis Raymond E.
Publication year - 1976
Publication title -
decision sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.238
H-Index - 108
eISSN - 1540-5915
pISSN - 0011-7315
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-5915.1976.tb00673.x
Subject(s) - computer science , selection (genetic algorithm) , expert opinion , quality (philosophy) , group decision making , operations research , management science , machine learning , mathematics , economics , psychology , social psychology , medicine , philosophy , epistemology , intensive care medicine
In using nominal groups for decision making, it is necessary to use some mechanical procedure for combining the evaluations. A simulation model is used to compare procedures for the case where a nominal group of m evaluators must select the best of n alternatives and where the evaluations are subject to random errors. Criteria are the probability of making a correct selection and the relative quality of the choice.