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Accounting for Natural Disasters: The Impact of Earthquake Risk on California Municipal Bond Pricing
Author(s) -
FOWLES JACOB,
LIU GAO,
MAMARIL CEZAR BRIAN
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
public budgeting and finance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.694
H-Index - 30
eISSN - 1540-5850
pISSN - 0275-1100
DOI - 10.1111/j.1540-5850.2009.00924.x
Subject(s) - municipal bond , issuer , bond , natural disaster , debt , business , finance , geography , meteorology
While Katrina has raised awareness of the potential impact of hurricanes on municipalities along the Gulf Coast, it remains unclear if the municipal bond market considers other types of natural disaster risk in other areas. We attempt to fill this gap by conducting an analysis to determine if underlying geologic earthquake risk affects interest costs for municipal bond issuers in California. We find that earthquake risk does matter in determining the interest costs for municipalities issuing debt, but not universally—only for municipal bonds issued after Hurricane Katrina and only in relation to underlying geologic earthquake risk.