Premium
The Effects of Macroeconomic Factors on Pricing Mortgage Insurance Contracts
Author(s) -
Chang ChiaChien,
Wang ChouWen,
Yang ChihYuan
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
journal of risk and insurance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.055
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1539-6975
pISSN - 0022-4367
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6975.2011.01447.x
Subject(s) - economics , hedge , monetary economics , risk premium , financial economics , ecology , biology
Numerous empirical studies, including Abraham and Hendershott (1996), Muellbauer and Murphy (1997), Leung (2004), and Oikarinen (2009), have identified a significant relationship between housing prices and macroeconomic factors. Using a linear regression on the comovement of macroeconomic factors and housing prices, this article employs an option‐pricing framework to price and hedge the fair premia of mortgage insurance (MI). Our model provides improved performance in terms of MI premium pricing, especially during periods that are characterized by high housing prices. Ignoring the impacts of macroeconomic factors on housing prices will lead to an underestimation of MI premia.