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Catastrophic Losses and Insurer Profitability: Evidence From 9/11
Author(s) -
Chen Xuanjuan,
Doerpinghaus Helen,
Lin BingXuan,
Yu Tong
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
journal of risk and insurance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.055
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1539-6975
pISSN - 0022-4367
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6975.2007.00247.x
Subject(s) - reinsurance , underwriting , profitability index , position (finance) , economics , actuarial science , ex ante , short run , monetary economics , business , finance , macroeconomics
We examine the effects of 9/11 on the insurance industry, hypothesizing a short‐run claim effect, resulting from insufficient premium ex ante for catastrophic losses, and a long‐run growth effect, resulting from ex post insurance supply reductions and risk updating. Following Yoon and Starks (1995) we use short‐ and long‐run abnormal forecast revisions to measure both effects, analyzing them as a function of firm‐specific characteristics. We find that firm type, loss estimates, reinsurance use, and tax position are important determinants of the short‐run position. Firm type, loss estimates, financial strength, underwriting risk, and reinsurance are key determinants of the firm's long‐run position.