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Chapter 5 : Actual and Counterfactual Smoking Prevalence Rates in the U.S. Population via Microsimulation
Author(s) -
Jeon Jihyoun,
Meza Rafael,
Krapcho Martin,
Clarke Lauren D.,
Byrne Jeff,
Levy David T.
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
risk analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.972
H-Index - 130
eISSN - 1539-6924
pISSN - 0272-4332
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01775.x
Subject(s) - microsimulation , counterfactual thinking , lung cancer , smoking prevalence , environmental health , population , demography , econometrics , computer science , medicine , gerontology , psychology , engineering , mathematics , sociology , oncology , transport engineering , social psychology
The smoking history generator (SHG) developed by the National Cancer Institute simulates individual life/smoking histories that serve as inputs for the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) lung cancer models. In this chapter, we review the SHG inputs, describe its outputs, and outline the methodology behind it. As an example, we use the SHG to simulate individual life histories for individuals born between 1890 and 1984 for each of the CISNET smoking scenarios and use those simulated histories to compute the corresponding smoking prevalence over the period 1975–2000.