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A Model for Setting Performance Objectives for Salmonella in the Broiler Supply Chain
Author(s) -
Tromp Seth Oscar,
Franz Eelco,
Rijgersberg Hajo,
Van Asselt Esther,
Van Der FelsKlerx Ine
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
risk analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.972
H-Index - 130
eISSN - 1539-6924
pISSN - 0272-4332
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01391.x
Subject(s) - broiler , salmonella , flock , supply chain , production (economics) , psychological intervention , transmission (telecommunications) , chain (unit) , business , operations management , environmental science , computer science , engineering , veterinary medicine , medicine , economics , food science , biology , marketing , genetics , macroeconomics , psychiatry , bacteria , telecommunications , physics , astronomy
A stochastic model for setting performance objectives for Salmonella in the broiler supply chain was developed. The goal of this study was to develop a model by which performance objectives for Salmonella prevalence at various points in the production chain can be determined, based on a preset final performance objective at the end of the processing line. The transmission of Salmonella through the broiler production chain was modeled. The prevalence at flock level was calculated from the measured prevalence at sample level. The transmission model is based on data on the occurrence of Salmonella collected in the Dutch broiler production chain during several years. The developed model can be used by policymakers and industry to determine economically and politically acceptable performance objectives for various points of the production chain and to draw conclusions about which interventions are most appropriate.