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A Probabilistic Model for the Failure Frequency of Underground Gas Pipelines
Author(s) -
Cooke Roger,
Jager Eric
Publication year - 1998
Publication title -
risk analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.972
H-Index - 130
eISSN - 1539-6924
pISSN - 0272-4332
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1998.tb00365.x
Subject(s) - pipeline transport , probabilistic logic , engineering , forensic engineering , statistical model , kilometer , environmental science , civil engineering , statistics , transport engineering , environmental engineering , mathematics
A model is constructed for the failure frequency of underground pipelines per kilometer year, as a function of pipe and environmental characteristics. The parameters in the model were quantified, with uncertainty, using historical data and structured expert judgment. Fifteen experts from institutes in The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Italy, France, Germany, Belgium, Denmark, and Canada participated in the study.