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Risk Management and Decision Rules for Light Water Reactors
Author(s) -
Griesmeyer J. Michael,
Okrent David
Publication year - 1981
Publication title -
risk analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.972
H-Index - 130
eISSN - 1539-6924
pISSN - 0272-4332
DOI - 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1981.tb01407.x
Subject(s) - risk analysis (engineering) , task (project management) , risk management , containment (computer programming) , core (optical fiber) , risk assessment , nuclear power , element (criminal law) , actuarial science , business , operations management , engineering , computer science , computer security , political science , finance , telecommunications , ecology , systems engineering , law , biology , programming language
A quantitative approach to risk management for accidents in light water nuclear power reactors is proposed to serve as one focus for discussion. In this proposal risk management is divided into two major tasks: the predominantly social and political task of setting the safety goals and the technical task of estimating the risks and deciding whether the safety goals have been met. The proposed safety goals include limits on the following: risk to the individual of early death or delayed cancer death; overall societal risk of early or delayed death; and the frequency of core melt accidents as well as the frequency of containment failure, given a core melt. Also included are a small element of risk aversion and an “as low as reasonably achievable” (ALARA) approach with a cost‐effectviness criterion which includes both economic and health effects.