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Modeling Migration Careers, Using Data from a British Survey
Author(s) -
Davies Richard B.,
Flowerdew Robin
Publication year - 1992
Publication title -
geographical analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.773
H-Index - 65
eISSN - 1538-4632
pISSN - 0016-7363
DOI - 10.1111/j.1538-4632.1992.tb00251.x
Subject(s) - residence , demographic economics , longitudinal data , geography , survey data collection , population , internal migration , duration (music) , econometrics , demography , sociology , economic geography , economics , statistics , mathematics , art , literature
Development of more sophisticated techniques for modeling longitudinal data has implications for improving our understanding of migration. This paper uses longitudinal data from the British Social Change and Economic Life initiative to disentangle the effects of population heterogeneity, progress through the life cycle and secular change on observed migration differentials. The data consist of retrospective life histories from people sampled in several contrasting localities in Great Britain, in which residential moves can be linked to changes in occupation and household structure. We present a framework for analysis of data of this type using a generalized linear modeling approach, together with results concerning variations in the probability of migration with age, gender, and changes in household and occupational circumstances. Of particular note is the evidence of substantial duration‐of‐residence effects and an unexpected later‐career increase in migration propensity.

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