Premium
Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?
Author(s) -
PACIELLO LUIGI
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
journal of money, credit and banking
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.763
H-Index - 108
eISSN - 1538-4616
pISSN - 0022-2879
DOI - 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00462.x
Subject(s) - monetary policy , economics , bayesian vector autoregression , inflation (cosmology) , vector autoregression , aggregate (composite) , econometrics , monetary economics , sample (material) , inflation targeting , bayesian probability , computer science , chemistry , physics , materials science , chromatography , theoretical physics , composite material , artificial intelligence
This paper studies U.S. inflation adjustment speed to aggregate technology shocks and to monetary policy shocks in a medium size Bayesian vector autoregression model. According to the model estimated on the 1959–2007 sample, inflation adjusts much faster to aggregate technology shocks than to monetary policy shocks. These results are robust to different identification assumptions and measures of aggregate prices. However, by separately estimating the model over the pre‐ and post‐1980 periods, this paper further shows that inflation adjusts much faster to technology shocks than to monetary policy shocks in the post‐1980 period, but not in the pre‐1980 period.