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Re‐evaluating the Harbinson Proposal – Prospects for the EU25: A Note
Author(s) -
Philippidis G.,
Hubbard L. J.,
Renwick A.
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
journal of agricultural economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.157
H-Index - 61
eISSN - 1477-9552
pISSN - 0021-857X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1477-9552.2007.00094.x
Subject(s) - tariff , liberalization , welfare , international economics , novelty , economics , baseline (sea) , free trade , focus (optics) , public economics , international trade , political science , market economy , philosophy , physics , theology , optics , law
In this study, we use the Harbinson Proposal and July Framework to compare a ‘likely’ Doha scenario with a realistic baseline. The novelty of this study is that we focus exclusively on the trade‐led welfare impacts in selected EU member states. The important features of this note are the: (i) usage of the latest Global Trade Analysis Project (version 6) data; (ii) focus on EU25 regions incorporating all major Common Agricultural Policy instruments and reforms; and (iii) inclusion of binding tariff overhangs into the Harbinson tariff reductions. Results show the damping effects of tariff‐binding overhangs on welfare outcomes. This and other factors which limit the gains to liberalisation mean that the EU25 only realises 10% of its long‐run welfare gain potential, as defined by complete liberalisation.