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Modelling the Role of Government Policy in Post‐War Australian Immigration *
Author(s) -
KELLEY ALLEN C.,
SCHMIDT ROBERT M.
Publication year - 1979
Publication title -
economic record
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.365
H-Index - 42
eISSN - 1475-4932
pISSN - 0013-0249
DOI - 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1979.tb02212.x
Subject(s) - immigration , emigration , government (linguistics) , economics , short run , immigration policy , population , demographic economics , development economics , macroeconomics , political science , sociology , demography , philosophy , linguistics , law
The authors develop and estimate a model of post‐war Australian migration which highlights an endogenous treatment of government policy and includes three equations explaining the emigration rate, the Government's Immigration Programme rate, and the immigration rate. The model permits the separate identification of long‐run population growth influences vis‐à‐vis short‐run economic considerations in explaining migration. Short‐run labour market conditions are found to be more important in explaining government behaviour than are long‐run population considerations. Immigrant behaviour appears to be affected by both short‐run and long‐run influences. Very little unexplained variation remains in the estimated regressions.