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The cost of living, threshold bargaining and incomes policy 1
Author(s) -
Hughes James J.
Publication year - 1973
Publication title -
industrial relations journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.525
H-Index - 3
eISSN - 1468-2338
pISSN - 0019-8692
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-2338.1973.tb00146.x
Subject(s) - negotiation , inflation (cosmology) , economics , settlement (finance) , wage , compensation (psychology) , incomes policy , trade union , cost of living , value (mathematics) , labour economics , keynesian economics , price level , macroeconomics , law , political science , finance , psychology , physics , machine learning , theoretical physics , computer science , psychoanalysis , payment
For trade union bargainers one of the infallible laws of political economy is that wages lag behind prices. This means that in an inflationary era the real value of the wage to which their members are entitled will be eroded, and some compensation will have to be made for this at the next round of wage negotiations. Therefore, changes in the cost of living since the last settlement will be regarded by trade unions as one of the most important factors to be taken into account in arriving at a new settlement. This is implicit in the statement made by the TUC in 1971 that “it requires pay increases of at least 10 per cent simply to restore the real disposable pay of a union's previous settlement 12 months earlier”. Economists, on the other hand, argue that once an inflation is under way, then economic agents will develop an inflationary psychology—that is, they will expect it to continue and will adjust their behaviour accordingly. If this is correct, trade union bargainers will attempt to anticipate inflation by trying to fix the money wage at a higher level than they would aim for if the price level were more stable.