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Underwriting Relationships and Analyst Independence in Europe
Author(s) -
McKnight Phillip J.,
Tavakoli Manouchehr,
Weir Charlie
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
financial markets, institutions and instruments
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.386
H-Index - 23
eISSN - 1468-0416
pISSN - 0963-8008
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0416.2010.00157.x
Subject(s) - underwriting , earnings , stock (firearms) , business , independence (probability theory) , investment banking , financial economics , accounting , monetary economics , economics , finance , statistics , mathematics , mechanical engineering , engineering
This paper examines the accuracy of security analysts’ earnings forecasts and stock recommendations for firms in 13 European countries. We document at least three key findings. First, we find strong evidence that lead and co‐lead underwriter analysts’ earnings estimates and stock recommendations are significantly more optimistic than those provided by unaffiliated analysts. Second, we find that lead and co‐lead underwriter analysts’ earnings forecast and stock recommendations are significantly more optimistic for underwriter stocks than for those they provide for other stocks. Third, we also find evidence that these biases found within earnings forecasts and stock recommendations are not driven by one particular country. In short, these findings suggest that affiliated analysts are more optimistic perhaps to maintain investment banking relations.