Premium
Dynamic Relations between Stock Returns and Exchange Rate Changes
Author(s) -
Inci A. Can,
Lee Bong Soo
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
european financial management
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.311
H-Index - 64
eISSN - 1468-036X
pISSN - 1354-7798
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-036x.2011.00621.x
Subject(s) - economics , stock (firearms) , granger causality , recession , exchange rate , stock exchange , econometrics , great recession , monetary economics , financial economics , macroeconomics , geography , labour economics , finance , archaeology
We re‐examine the relation between stock returns and exchange rate changes in five major European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, and the UK), the USA, Canada, and Japan by taking into account dynamic effects, including lagged changes of variables, and employing causal relations. We find that lagged exchange rates have a significant impact on stock returns. We find evidence of Granger causality from exchange rate changes to stock returns, and also for the reverse direction. Furthermore, the dynamic relation has been more significant and stronger in recent years and recession periods than in early periods and expansion periods.