Premium
HOW LONG DO CONGRESSMEN STAY IN OFFICE? *
Author(s) -
Reed W. Robert,
Schansberg D. Eric
Publication year - 1990
Publication title -
economics and politics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.822
H-Index - 45
eISSN - 1468-0343
pISSN - 0954-1985
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0343.1990.tb00029.x
Subject(s) - seniority , actuarial science , econometrics , economics , operations research , political science , engineering , law
This paper develops a methodology for calculating the expected completed lengths of U.S. congressmen's stays in office. In addition, it demonstrates how this methodology can be used to forecast the seniority structure of future Congresses. One of the major empirical findings of this paper is that it demonstrates the deficiencies of using “mean term” to make inferences about the expected length of congressmen's stays.