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THE DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT
Author(s) -
Eastwood Robert,
Lipton Michael
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
economic affairs
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.24
H-Index - 18
eISSN - 1468-0270
pISSN - 0265-0665
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0270.2011.02124.x
Subject(s) - demographic dividend , miracle , demographic transition , dependency ratio , dividend , economics , fertility , population , population growth , development economics , dependency (uml) , demographic change , demography , political science , sociology , engineering , systems engineering , finance , law
The demographic transition, from high to low mortality and fertility, entails several decades during which a country's dependency ratio falls, bringing a demographic dividend to which a third of East Asia's late twentieth‐century economic growth ‘miracle’ has been attributed. Can a similar miracle be expected in sub‐Saharan Africa in the next few decades, or will relentless population pressure prevent this?