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A THEORY OF OBJECTIVE CHANCE
Author(s) -
Phillips John F.
Publication year - 2005
Publication title -
pacific philosophical quarterly
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.914
H-Index - 32
eISSN - 1468-0114
pISSN - 0279-0750
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0114.2005.00226.x
Subject(s) - event (particle physics) , epistemology , point (geometry) , probability theory , semantics (computer science) , mathematical economics , computer science , mathematics , philosophy , statistics , physics , geometry , quantum mechanics , programming language
Objective probability, or objective chance, is the probability of some event occurring in the future independent of what anyone thinks. This paper presents and defends a theory of objective chance. I develop an informal analysis of objective chance, taking the common sense picture underlying our talk about the likelihood of future events as our starting point. A formal semantics is introduced, and I argue that the theory presented satisfies certain criteria of adequacy for a theory of probability.