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ASIAN FINANCIAL LINKAGE: MACRO‐FINANCE DISSONANCE
Author(s) -
FUJIWARA IPPEI,
TAKAHASHI KOJI
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
pacific economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.34
H-Index - 33
eISSN - 1468-0106
pISSN - 1361-374X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0106.2011.00575.x
Subject(s) - spillover effect , cognitive dissonance , economics , financial market , stock (firearms) , linkage (software) , macro , emerging markets , china , financial integration , financial economics , monetary economics , finance , macroeconomics , mechanical engineering , psychology , social psychology , biochemistry , chemistry , gene , computer science , law , political science , engineering , programming language
How are Asian financial markets interlinked and how are they linked to markets in developed countries? What is the main driver of fluctuations in Asian financial markets as well as real economic activity? To answer these questions, we estimate the spillover index proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz and gauge the degree of interaction in both financial markets and real economic activity among Asian economies. We first show that the degree of the international spillover in stock markets is uniform, irrespective of the groups of countries concerned, such as the G3 and ASEAN4. This suggests the importance of global common shocks in stock markets. We then discuss the macro‐finance dissonance . In stock and bond markets, the United States has been the main driver of fluctuations. However, China has emerged as an important source of fluctuations in real economic activity.