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Survey non‐response and the duration of unemployment
Author(s) -
Van Den Berg Gerard J.,
Lindeboom Maarten,
Dolton Peter J.
Publication year - 2006
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series a (statistics in society)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.103
H-Index - 84
eISSN - 1467-985X
pISSN - 0964-1998
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-985x.2006.00422.x
Subject(s) - unemployment , duration (music) , non response bias , survey data collection , econometrics , set (abstract data type) , homogeneous , psychology , economics , statistics , demographic economics , computer science , mathematics , combinatorics , programming language , art , literature , economic growth
Summary. Social surveys are often used to estimate unemployment duration distributions. Survey non‐response may then cause a bias. We study this by using a data set that combines survey information of individual workers with administrative records of the same workers. The latter provide information on durations of unemployment and personal characteristics of all survey respondents and non‐respondents. We develop a method to distinguish empirically between two explanations for a bias in results based on only survey data: selectivity due to related unobserved determinants of durations of unemployment and non‐response and a causal effect of a job exit on non‐response. The latter may occur even in fully homogeneous populations. The methodology exploits variation in the timing of the duration outcome relative to the survey moment. The results show evidence for both explanations. We discuss implications for standard methods to deal with non‐response bias.