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NET MIGRATION ESTIMATION IN AN EXTENDED, MULTIREGIONAL GRAVITY MODEL *
Author(s) -
Foot David K.,
Milne William J.
Publication year - 1984
Publication title -
journal of regional science
Language(s) - Uncategorized
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.171
H-Index - 79
eISSN - 1467-9787
pISSN - 0022-4146
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9787.1984.tb01023.x
Subject(s) - estimation , internal migration , unemployment , net migration rate , economics , wage , econometrics , econometric model , order (exchange) , gravity model of trade , net (polyhedron) , macroeconomics , population , developing country , labour economics , mathematics , economic growth , finance , population growth , demography , geometry , management , sociology
A multi-regional framework is developed in order to analyze net migration over time to all 10 Canadian provinces within an integrated system of equations. "An extended gravity model is the basis for the equation specification and the use of constrained econometric estimation techniques allows for the provincial interdependence of the migration decision while at the same time ensuring that an important system-wide requirement is respected." The model is estimated using official Canadian data for the 1960s and 1970s. "The results suggest the predominance of the push factor for interprovincial migration for most provinces, although net migration to the Atlantic provinces is also shown to be subject to pull forces from the rest of the country." The effects of wage rate variables, unemployment, and political disturbances in Quebec on inter-provincial migration are noted.