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Opening of China's Trade, Labour Market Reform and Impact on Rural Wages
Author(s) -
Carter Colin A.,
Estrin Andrew J.
Publication year - 2005
Publication title -
world economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.594
H-Index - 68
eISSN - 1467-9701
pISSN - 0378-5920
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2005.00708.x
Subject(s) - economics , agriculture , accession , china , wage , labour economics , government (linguistics) , international economics , european union , ecology , linguistics , philosophy , political science , law , biology
Government policy in China supports urban wages at the expense of returns to farm labour. A model is developed to estimate how WTO accession and complementary labour market reform will influence factor returns in China. With WTO membership, a larger cut in manufacturing tariffs compared to agriculture will improve agriculture's terms of trade and will raise the agricultural wage. Complementary labour market reforms will further boost farm wages as labour exits agriculture in large numbers. We estimate that WTO membership and complementary labour market reforms will result in a decline in the agricultural labour force by about 25 per cent.