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Setting Wildfire Evacuation Trigger Points Using Fire Spread Modeling and GIS
Author(s) -
Cova Thomas J.,
Dennison Philip E.,
Kim Tae H.,
Moritz Max A.
Publication year - 2005
Publication title -
transactions in gis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.721
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1467-9671
pISSN - 1361-1682
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9671.2005.00237.x
Subject(s) - geography , canyon , geographic information system , meteorology , computer science , environmental science , environmental resource management , cartography , operations research , transport engineering , engineering
Warning communities in the path of an advancing wildfire is a challenging problem. Decision makers need the most current information available to determine who should evacuate, when they should leave and what type of order to issue (e.g. mandatory, recommended, voluntary). This paper presents a new method for delimiting wildfire evacuation trigger points using fire spread modeling and GIS. Using data on wind, topography, and fuel in conjunction with estimated evacuation time, a trigger buffer can be computed for a community whereby an evacuation is recommended if a fire crosses the edge of the buffer. A case study is presented for the Corral Canyon section of the 1996 Calabasas Fire near Malibu, California, USA. The paper concludes with a discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of this approach.