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THE (IR)RELEVANCE OF THE NRU FOR POLICY MAKING: THE CASE OF DENMARK
Author(s) -
Karanassou Marika,
Sala Hector,
Salvador Pablo F.
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
scottish journal of political economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.4
H-Index - 46
eISSN - 1467-9485
pISSN - 0036-9292
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9485.2008.00458.x
Subject(s) - unemployment , economics , relevance (law) , point (geometry) , econometrics , macroeconomics , political science , geometry , mathematics , law
We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between lagged adjustment processes and growth in dynamic labour market systems. We choose Denmark as the focal point of our empirical analysis and find that the NRU explains only 33% of the unemployment variation, while frictional growth accounts for the remaining 67%. Therefore, our theoretical and empirical findings raise doubts as to whether the NRU should play such a key instrumental role in policy making.