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Oil Exports, Non‐Oil GDP, and Investment in the GCC Countries
Author(s) -
Harb Nasri
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
review of development economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.531
H-Index - 50
eISSN - 1467-9361
pISSN - 1363-6669
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2009.00524.x
Subject(s) - economics , unit root , investment (military) , short run , panel data , real gross domestic product , monetary economics , unit root test , econometrics , natural resource , macroeconomics , international economics , cointegration , ecology , politics , political science , law , biology
This paper studies the long‐run and short‐run relationships between oil exports, non‐oil GDP, and investment in five major oil‐exporting countries. Its goal is to verify the effect of natural resources exports on economic performance. It considers the effect of cross‐sectional correlations and uses the corresponding panel unit‐root tests to study the long‐run characteristics of the data series. The results show that resources' exports have no long‐run relationship with the macroeconomic variables. A VAR analysis is used to estimate the short‐run dynamics and shows that the effect of oil exports on those variables depends on local policies.