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Potential problem analysis: A systematic approach to problem prediction and contingency planning—an aid to the smooth exploitation of research
Author(s) -
Woods M. F.,
Davies G. B.
Publication year - 1973
Publication title -
randd management
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.253
H-Index - 102
eISSN - 1467-9310
pISSN - 0033-6807
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9310.1973.tb01028.x
Subject(s) - contingency , contingency plan , operations research , management science , computer science , engineering , epistemology , philosophy , computer security
Scientists and technologists have always attempted to predict ‘what is likely to go wrong’ with a particular project. At URL Colworth/Welwyn we now have some 24 years’ experience in a semi‐formalized system of problem prediction. The paper describes the system, explains its worth and shows where and when it should be used as well as explaining the consequences of its use. A theoretical justification of some of the assumptions used in the system is also attempted.