Premium
COSTS OF HOUSING CRISES: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
Author(s) -
Aßmann Christian,
BoysenHogrefe Jens,
Jannsen Nils
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
bulletin of economic research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.227
H-Index - 29
eISSN - 1467-8586
pISSN - 0307-3378
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-8586.2011.00408.x
Subject(s) - economics , recession , monetary economics , real gross domestic product , great recession , macroeconomics , labour economics
This paper analyses the costs of housing crises in terms of GDP growth and the economic conditions under which crises are particularly costly. Housing crises are often followed by recessions that are longer than other recessions. According to empirical estimates, a housing crisis reduces the GDP growth rate in the following year on average by two percentage points and has still a considerable negative impact in the second year. One important channel through which the effect of housing crises is passed on seems to be the banking sector. In addition, our results suggest that negative wealth effects possibly cause further reductions in GDP growth.