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Do Futures Benefit Farmers?
Author(s) -
Lence Sergio H.
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
american journal of agricultural economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.949
H-Index - 111
eISSN - 1467-8276
pISSN - 0002-9092
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-8276.2008.01162.x
Subject(s) - futures contract , welfare , futures market , economics , commodity market , forward market , commodity , microeconomics , hedge , business , financial economics , market economy , finance , ecology , biology
Abstract Simulations are used to analyze welfare and market‐ and farm‐level effects of making futures available to producers of a storable commodity. Key features of the model are the explicit consideration of dynamic impacts due to inventories, and of aggregate market effects associated with futures adoption by some producers. Application to the natural rubber market shows that futures availability can lead to sizable market‐ and farm‐level effects. Futures availability enhances consumer welfare, reduces nonadopter welfare, and yields important welfare gains for adopters when their market share is small and welfare losses when they account for a sufficiently large market share.