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THE INFLATION PROCESS IN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES INDIVIDUALLY AND COMBINED
Author(s) -
Furstenberg George M. von,
H. White William,
W.Hannah Kellett
Publication year - 1980
Publication title -
kyklos
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.766
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1467-6435
pISSN - 0023-5962
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-6435.1980.tb02635.x
Subject(s) - inflation (cosmology) , economics , money supply , lag , monetary economics , monetary policy , macroeconomics , computer network , physics , theoretical physics , computer science
SUMMARY This paper reports on technical studies of the determinants of inflation which were undertaken for the seven major industrial countries and Belgium, the Netherlands, and Switzerland in two distinct expectational frameworks. Both are designed to account for the empirical fact that changes in the rate of growth of the money supply ( M 2 ) affect both actual and expected inflation with a lag distributed over several years. It is found that M 2 velocity is strongly procyclical. Furthermore, the underlying course of inflation since 1960 was influenced not only by money supply growth, but also by the changed longrun behavior of velocity and potential output imparting additional inflationary bias in most countries.