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Professional judgement in the assessment of risk: is there a role for systemic practice?
Author(s) -
Hurst Mark
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
journal of family therapy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.52
H-Index - 45
eISSN - 1467-6427
pISSN - 0163-4445
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-6427.2011.00533.x
Subject(s) - judgement , certainty , accountability , risk assessment , narrative , psychology , epistemology , politics , engineering ethics , sociology , management science , political science , computer science , engineering , law , philosophy , linguistics , computer security
Risk assessment is an example of professional decision‐making pared to its stark essentials. Political pressures towards accountability and the need for defensible decisions encourage a ‘tick‐box’ approach to risk assessment, but this can create unrealistic expectations of certainty. In practice, as technological approaches produce ever more complex formal tools for assessing risk, their effectiveness remains dubious while our human decision‐making apparatus is marginalized. This article examines whether we should respect our ability to apprehend complex multi‐stranded narrative realities intuitively, with the hope that such intuitions might contribute to professional decision‐making. This idea is explored with reference to a case study.