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BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY: A DEEPER LOOK
Author(s) -
SICHEL DANIEL E.
Publication year - 1993
Publication title -
economic inquiry
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.823
H-Index - 72
eISSN - 1465-7295
pISSN - 0095-2583
DOI - 10.1111/j.1465-7295.1993.tb00879.x
Subject(s) - business cycle , unemployment , economics , asymmetry , industrial production , production (economics) , econometrics , unemployment rate , keynesian economics , macroeconomics , physics , quantum mechanics
This paper distinguishes two types of asymmetry in business cycles: deepness and steepness. Deepness is defined as the characteristic that troughs are further below trend than peaks are above. Most previous research has focused exclusively on steepness, which refers to cycles in which contractions are steeper than expansions. A test for deepness is proposed and applied to U.S. post‐war quarterly unemployment, real GNP, and industrial production. Evidence of deepness is found for unemployment and industrial production, while the evidence for real GNP is weaker. Previous evidence of steepness in unemployment is confirmed.