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INFLATION AND GOVERNMENT DEFICITS
Author(s) -
DWYER GERALD P.
Publication year - 1982
Publication title -
economic inquiry
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.823
H-Index - 72
eISSN - 1465-7295
pISSN - 0095-2583
DOI - 10.1111/j.1465-7295.1982.tb00350.x
Subject(s) - economics , inflation (cosmology) , government debt , monetary economics , value (mathematics) , government (linguistics) , deficit spending , monetary policy , debt , macroeconomics , keynesian economics , interest rate , linguistics , philosophy , physics , theoretical physics , machine learning , computer science
There is a pronounced positive correlation of inflation and government deficits in the United States since World War II. The purpose of this paper is to test the three leading explanations of this correlation. These three explanations are: (a) a deficit increases prices through a wealth effect; (b) a deficit results in the Federal Reserve purchasing debt, thus increasing the money supply and prices; and (c) expected inflation increases the deficit (which is the change in the nominal value of bonds). No support is found for either of the first two hypotheses. The results indicate that expected government deficits have no significance for future inflation.