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Prospective analysis of the invasive potential of the European grapevine moth Lobesia botrana (Den. & Schiff.) in California
Author(s) -
Gutierrez Andrew P.,
Ponti Luigi,
Cooper Monica L.,
Gilioli Gianni,
Baumgärtner Johann,
Duso Carlo
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
agricultural and forest entomology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.755
H-Index - 55
eISSN - 1461-9563
pISSN - 1461-9555
DOI - 10.1111/j.1461-9563.2011.00566.x
Subject(s) - biology , phenology , fecundity , vine , pest analysis , pupa , invasive species , ecology , sterile insect technique , larva , horticulture , population , demography , sociology
Lobesia botrana is a key pest of grape in the Palearctic region. It was found in California, in 2009. The present study aimed to assess prospectively its potential geographical distribution and abundance in California and the continental U.S.A. Data from the European literature were used to formulate and parameterize a holisticphysiologically-based demographic model. Daily weather data were used to simulate the potential distribution of the moth in U.S.A. Predictions of this model are here reported