Premium
PREDICTORS OF SEVERITY OF ATTACKS OF ACUTE PANCREATITIS
Author(s) -
Cassey John G.,
Clark David A.
Publication year - 1986
Publication title -
australian and new zealand journal of surgery
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.111
H-Index - 51
eISSN - 1445-2197
pISSN - 0004-8682
DOI - 10.1111/j.1445-2197.1986.tb01849.x
Subject(s) - medicine , acute pancreatitis , white blood cell , pancreatitis , blood pressure , prospective cohort study , randomized controlled trial , intensive care medicine , predictive value , emergency medicine
In an attempt to reduce the current morbidity and mortality from acute pancreatitis, a prospective randomized multicentre trial was begun in August 1982. Part of this study involved an attempt to develop a set of prognostic indices which would identify patients with severe pancreatitis on the day of admission to hospital. An analysis of a predetermined set of 10 indices (age, blood pressure, white cell count, blood urea, serum calcium, aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, blood glucose, arterial blood pH and P O 2 ) on admission to hospital, in 100 patients, is presented. The positive predictive value of these indices (excluding age) is 90%. These indices are readily available in most hospitals, and allow the early identification of the high risk patient with an accuracy equal to or better than that previously reported.