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Large‐scale population analysis reveals an extremely low threshold for “non‐healthy” alanine aminotransferase that predicts diabetes mellitus
Author(s) -
Shlomai Amir,
Kariv Revital,
Leshno Moshe,
Bethor Anat,
Sheinberg Bracha,
Halpern Zamir
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
journal of gastroenterology and hepatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.214
H-Index - 130
eISSN - 1440-1746
pISSN - 0815-9319
DOI - 10.1111/j.1440-1746.2010.06369.x
Subject(s) - medicine , quartile , odds ratio , alanine aminotransferase , diabetes mellitus , population , alanine transaminase , metabolic syndrome , gastroenterology , confidence interval , endocrinology , environmental health
Background and Aims: Serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is commonly used to detect liver damage. Recent studies indicate that ALT levels at the upper range of normal limits are predictors of adverse outcomes, especially diabetes mellitus (DM) and the metabolic syndrome. The aim of our study was to define the ALT threshold for both men and women that may predict the onset of DM. Methods: We analyzed a large Health Maintenance Organization cohort of 157 308 healthy subjects with no evidence of liver disease and with baseline ALT levels ≤ 120 U/L, and identified those who developed DM within 6 years. Results: Overall, an elevated baseline serum ALT value was significantly associated with the development of DM, with an odds ratio of 3.3 when comparing the higher and the lower quartiles of the whole study population. A subgroup analysis revealed that baseline ALT values higher than 10 U/L among women and 22 U/L among men were already significantly associated with an increased risk for DM for any increment in ALT level. Notably, ALT values higher than ∼55 U/L were associated with increased risk for DM that was relatively constant for any increment in ALT. Higher baseline ALT levels were stronger predictors for DM as compared with age, triglycerides and cholesterol levels. Conclusion: Our study implies that ALT values higher than 10 U/L and 22 U/L for women and men, respectively, may predict DM. We suggest redefining ALT values as either ‘normal’ or ‘healthy’, with the later reflecting much lower values, above which an individual is at increased risk for DM.